Current:Home > NewsThe U.S. dollar conquered the world. Is it at risk of losing its top spot? -TradeStation
The U.S. dollar conquered the world. Is it at risk of losing its top spot?
View
Date:2025-04-20 02:23:21
You might just think of the dollar as the money in your wallet, the cash you use to buy your morning coffee.
But the dollar is much, much bigger than that.
The dollar is the world's currency: It dominates global business.
Economists call it the "global reserve currency," a fancy title the dollar got about 80 years ago that has brought some pretty serious perks to the U.S. economy.
But could the dollar get knocked off the top spot? There are challengers emerging, and history shows that countries whose currency dominated the globe can fall from that top spot pretty fast ... even over the course of a few days.
How it started: timing + muscle + lots of gold
The U.S. dollar did not luck its way into the top spot.
It was a carefully engineered plan that unfolded in the mountains of New Hampshire nearly 80 years ago. At the time the British Pound Sterling was the international currency. A title it had held for decades.
The dollar's rise happened pretty suddenly at the Bretton Woods International Monetary Conference in 1944. Bretton Woods was a gathering of world leaders at the end of World War II. They came together to try and establish an international system for trade and finance, to help bind the world together and increase prosperity for all.
Everyone agreed that in order to ease international trade, there needed to be a common currency, a standard everyone could use.
At the time of the conference, the British economy was in shambles. The costs of fighting a war on its own soil had been enormous. It was clear that the British Pound Sterling could not be the currency everyone counted on.
So the British pushed for a new currency that would solely be used for inter-country trades: Economist John Maynard Keynes, who was at Bretton Woods on behalf of the British, proposed the "Bancor" (a mix of the French work for bank, 'banc' and the French word for gold 'or) but also suggested "Orb" and even ... "Unicorn."
But the U.S. dollar left the Bancor, the Orb and the Unicorn in its dust. The U.S. was economically quite strong. It also had lots of gold in its vaults, which made people feel like its wealth was backed up.
It used these advantages to help muscle the dollar in as the official currency of international business at the conference.
The perks of being the world's currency
Being the world's reserve currency essentially means the U.S. dollar is at the center of most of the business on Earth.
Example: If you're a clothing designer in Chile and you order cotton from Egypt for some shirts you plan to make, you will pay for that cotton in U.S. dollars. Not Chilean pesos and not Egyptian pounds.
To be clear, the U.S. isn't involved in that deal at all, but the U.S. dollar is. When international deals happen, they usually happen in dollars.
This is a big boost to the U.S. in all kinds of way: For example, it means domestic businesses have a home court (home currency) advantage when they do business overseas.
But as the Bretton Woods conference demonstrated, that top spot can slip away pretty fast
"We have an important advantage, which may whittle away slowly if we're not careful," says economist Michael Boskin, a former White House advisor.
The challenges to the dollar
There are a couple reasons why the dollar's status is suddenly being talked about as at risk.
Earlier this year, China, Russia, Saudi Arabia, the United Arab Emirates and even Brazil started making trades in other currencies: The Chinese Yuan and the Russian ruble. This was a very direct challenge to the U.S. dollar's central position.
China has long been pushing to have its currency replace the dollar, but it's getting momentum now for a couple of possible reasons:
First: the debt ceiling. Being the currency everyone counts on to do business means people have to believe that your currency is reliable. That recent debt ceiling drama made the U.S. (and, by extension, the dollar) look potentially risky and unstable.
Using the dollar as an economic weapon
The debt ceiling is not at the heart of the recent spate of non-dollar trades, says Benn Steil, an economist with the Council on Foreign relations.
"The real issue is the U.S. government's increasing use of the dollar as a tool for financial sanctions," he says.
The dollar is so powerful, if you can't use it, you are essentially iced out of being able to do most business anywhere in the world.
The U.S. has used this as a nonviolent way to put pressure on countries: North Korea, Iran and most recently Russia. After the invasion of Ukraine, the U.S. said, 'No dollar for you!'
Steil says the economic impacts of those sanctions have been massive and other countries have noticed.
"Sanctions are an effective tool, but we have to be careful," he says. "It's like over-prescribing an effective antibiotic. It encourages the development of new strains of bacteria that are resistant to the antibiotic."
If you are a country that has a complicated relationship with the U.S., watching the effect of American financial sanctions on Russia is scary. It's been enough to push China, Saudi Arabia and others to make deals that get around the dollar, trying to chip away at its power
"This is not nearly as efficient as using the dollar," Steil says of these deals. "That can lead to a massive fragmentation in the global economy and a much less efficient and less productive global economy."
It's still all about the Benjamins... for now
Right now, the dollar has a lot of momentum and is not at any immediate risk of losing its top spot, says economist Michael Boskin.
Still, he says momentum can change fast.
"Other countries in previous times have been the reserve currency and they fritter that away," he says. "We need to be very careful."
And right now, with so much global turmoil, China and others have started to see a possible opening to grab that top spot – or at least start to chip away at the U.S. dollar's dominance.
veryGood! (4817)
Related
- Rams vs. 49ers highlights: LA wins rainy defensive struggle in key divisional game
- NFL schedule release 2024: Here are the best team schedule release videos in recent memory
- Emily in Paris' Lucien Laviscount Details Working With Shakira
- Mexico tightens travel rules on Peruvians in a show of visa diplomacy to slow migration to US
- North Carolina justices rule for restaurants in COVID
- How to Grow Long, Strong Natural Nails At Home, According To A Nail Artist
- Boy Scouts of America is rebranding. Here’s why they’re now named Scouting America
- Winner of Orange County Marathon Esteban Prado disqualified after dad gave him water
- Will the 'Yellowstone' finale be the last episode? What we know about Season 6, spinoffs
- CFL suspends former NFL QB Chad Kelly 9 games for violating gender-based violence policy
Ranking
- Krispy Kreme offers a free dozen Grinch green doughnuts: When to get the deal
- Biden heads to Wisconsin to laud a new Microsoft facility, meet voters — and troll Trump
- The TWR Supercat V-12 is the coolest Jaguar XJS you (probably) forgot about
- Would limits on self-checkout prevent shoplifting? What a California bill would mean.
- DoorDash steps up driver ID checks after traffic safety complaints
- Met Gala 2024 highlights: Zendaya, Gigi Hadid bloom in garden theme, plus what you didn't see
- Biden heads to Wisconsin to laud a new Microsoft facility, meet voters — and troll Trump
- Tori Spelling Reveals She Welded Homemade Sex Toy for Dean McDermott
Recommendation
What were Tom Selleck's juicy final 'Blue Bloods' words in Reagan family
US service member shot and killed by Florida police identified by the Air Force
Hamas says it approves of Egyptian-Qatari cease-fire proposal, but Israel says plan has significant gaps
More GOP states challenge federal rules protecting transgender students
Jamie Foxx reps say actor was hit in face by a glass at birthday dinner, needed stitches
Taylor Swift bill is signed into Minnesota law, boosting protections for online ticket buyers
Mary J. Blige asserts herself with Strength of a Woman: 'Allow me to reintroduce myself'
Official resigns after guilty plea to drug conspiracy in Mississippi and North Carolina vape shops